Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Priorities in policies...

This is a complex matter, because it most greatly affects those who cannot afford it. In energy, for example, due to the advanced age of our oil fields, oil companies, large and small, were given tax breaks to make the oil production profitable, since huge expenditures are required for what we call secondary phase recovery. This oil is very expensive to recover, compared to historical prices, and tax breaks were given so that a production company could make a little profit, and in doing so, kept prices lower for the consumer.

Now, we have the accusation that this is "corporate welfare" and that it is wrong, when it had only two intentions: produce more American oil, keep the same American oil at global market prices and thereby keep gasoline prices lower to the consumer. Now, we have today's prices for oil and gasoline. Even though gasoline prices are really only at inflation-adjusted historical levels, the perception is that the prices are high, because we have been paying below inflation level prices for so long. At today's oil prices (which is headed below $90/BBL, down from $140/BBL earlier this year), perhaps it is time to remove the tax breaks -- but prices will go up to the consumer (the consumer always pays for corporate taxation, because companies have to make a profit to survive), and such increases always hurt the lower economic groups more than anyone else.

Many are pushing for"corporate welfare" for alternative energy, I mean, err, tax breaks. What is the purpose? What is the policy? What is the end game? (If tax breaks are good for struggling businesses, what about us struggling individuals?). That means that we, the tax payer, gets a reprieve for using these technologies by their inherently high cost being kept lower (still incredibly expensive for the consumer). I like tax breaks, and I think tax breaks for alternative energy solutions should extend to individuals who install them. The capital required is still large, but if I can get a huge tax break for doing so, it can make financial sense for me in the long run. At what point, however, do we lift such tax breaks at the corporate level? At what point are we, as individuals, paying more personal tax because these alternate energy corporations are not paying enough?

I prefer no government subsidies or special tax breaks for anyone -- a free, though volatile, market. We both know it is not as simple as that. The more alternative energy is pushed, the more tax breaks (corporate welfare) will be required for it to make financial sense for people like you and me (maybe it will always be a utility level implementation), and if utility companies are forced to a certain level of alternative energy output, the energy bill received by homeowners will increase substantially, again, hurting the lower economic groups the most.

How do we balance all of these factors without creating another expensive bureaucracy in the government (which increases the pain on consumers at all levels due to the tax increases required to support such a bureaucracy)? Maybe alternative energy is served best by competing in a free market (level playing field, no one (meaning anyone in the energy business) getting special tax breaks, higher energy prices for the consumer) where innovation will be the key to profitability. I know the same would happen for the oil production companies, large and small, if their tax breaks were removed.

This is why we must be clear on what we want to accomplish via our energy policies; the same is something you and I need to communicate to our Congressmen and Congresswomen. Is the priority energy independence? Is the priority lower prices? Is the priority alternative energy no matter how high the price? Whichever one of these is first, necessarily shapes a different energy policy. If everything is a priority, then nothing is a priority. The answer and its repercussions cannot be reduced to a sound bite. Personally, I say shape our policy around independence. Whatever your view, think your view all the way through the economic chain, and let your people in Congress know your thoughts. They work for you.

Friday, September 12, 2008

Blogging Ike

We are riding the storm out. We are located about 60 miles NW of Galveston, so our biggest concern is wind. Our area does not flood. The addage is: "Run from water, hide from wind". We will manage the wind aspect, and keep the highways free for those who need to evacuate. Our biggest concern: power outage. The suburbs are low priority for the power company, and we understand the process. So, now a little of our experience...

We noticed cloud cover settling in about 1300h today. A few extra gusts of wind, but nothing steady. Winds starting getting more intense at about 1930h (15-20 mph, gusting to 25 mph). We prepared by bringing all outdoor furniture into the garage, pulling the plants in large pots next to the house, buying 6 flats of water, storing ice, bringing the coolers inside so they will already be cool if we need to transfer food into them. Tonight, I will case my guitars and store them away from windows, shut down the laptops and store them in closets, secure the desktop in its amoire, and make sure all cell phones are fulling charged.

We had our own hurricane party, just Pam and me (and the dogs, of course). Pam made a chocolate cake, and we watched 3 episodes of House. Now we are making final preparations, and will make notes here as long as we are able...2056h 20080912

Officially, Ike made landfall at 20080913:0210 just east of Galveston as a Category 2 hurricane (winds over 100 mph, see the hurricane scale and the wind scale). We felt the winds hit hard at 0230h, as the rain came and the wind reached howling levels. Our house did not creak nor flinch, and we lost no windows. At 0330h, we lost power for a minute or two, but it did recover. We had a hard loss of power at 0430h, and wind intensity, as well as rain, was high.

We got up with our dogs about 0500. Dogs need to go out and take care of business regardless of the weather. We noted our trees were fully in motion, but still rooted, and the rain was coming down hard. We estimated the windspeed at 40-50 mph (64-80 kph). We have natural gas for our stove, and as one who prefers to use a french press for coffee, boiled some water and had a very civilized cup of joe. The power flickered on and off between 0600-0620, and then went down for good. Water pressure was dropping all this time as well. We had a little battery operated TV, the first official Jeep accessory I received, as a gift from my in-laws. We followed the news and weather maps for a couple of hours.

The wind continued to be strong until about 0800, when the howling could only be heard in some gusts. Pam and I napped until about 1000h. It was still raining, and the winds had died considerably, to about 20 mph (32 kph). Looking outside, we could see small branches everywhere, and lost a couple of large branches in the pine tree on the front lawn. A neighbor across the street had a tree snap in half, and one down the street had a tree uproot altogether, all these discoveries in an informal neighborhood damage walk and sharing of the adventures of the night.

We were surprised by our daughter and her family arriving at our house. They had roof damage that was leaking into the house, and decided to make a run for drier confines. By noon, parents deemed it OK for the kids to be outside playing, and laughter was heard on our street. We still had no electricity, but water pressure had returned and we were doing well.

We cooked a pot of pasta and used spaghetti sauce from the previous week to prepare ourselves an Italian feast, complete with a spinach salad. For dessert, we tapped the chocolate cake from the night before. As it got warmer outside, it got warmer inside. We had opened some windows to get some cross flow, but oddly enough, there was little wind by now. We all knew it could be sooner or much later before power (and A/C) were restored, but we were grateful because we know our coastal Texas brethren had lost much more. At 1554h today, power was restored.

We had experienced severe storm conditions for almost 6 hours, and had been almost 12 hours without electricity. We experienced sustained winds of 45+ mph (60+ kph), and gusts up to 65 mph (104 kph). We lost our NW fence. We do not how much rain fell in our area (note: estimates are 6 inches). So far as we know at this writing, Ike took three lives, nearly miraculous considering the size and power of this storm. Ike is gone, picking up after him remains...
20080913:1630


Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Town Call Meeting

Technology is useful, even for good things. I was contacted for a "town call meeting" last night with my Congressional representative, along with 100s of others. By pressing "0" on the phone, we queued ourselves to ask questions or comment or both. I kinda broke the lovefest by expressing my views and asking him to clarify his own views versus the actual GOP performance.  

It was great to have this kind of personal access (even though, through his website, I have corresponded with him many times previously), and being able to do so without getting out and driving somewhere. I hope everyone's Congressperson is doing the same, regardless of their label.  

What did I learn? He and I agree on an "all of the above" approach to energy, agree the government needs to reign in its spending and reduce significantly in size (and that the FM bailouts were wrong, WE, the taxpayer, are paying for it), and expand the roadways in Houston to facilitate better traffic flow (use less energy) AND integrate mass transit with these efforts, both bus and rail services. We are both for securing borders as opposed to more immigration legislation.  

I further pushed for a focus away from inefficient wind power (about 1% efficient) in favor of more effort for solar (wind requires sustained high winds, whereas we all get sunshine) and tidal energy (very predictable; it's a physics thing), and to convert our automobiles to natural gas, which is cleaner and significantly reduces our dependence on foreign oil. And, many of us could fill up from our homes! I also told him I want a much smaller government and reduced tax burden, but stated HB 24 was too Draconian.

Monday, September 1, 2008

Cleaning out closets...

Why do we keep the stuff we do? Because it seemed like a good idea at the time, and carried a "waste not, want not" sentiment. Not bad thinking. Now roll ahead several years, and you are cleaning stuff out of a closet, stuff you barely remember having in your possession, and you triple your trash haul for the week. On the other hand, the closets contain treasures, genuine riches, like a picture of my grandmother and her husband, whom none of us knew due to his untimely death while Dad was a child, a picture of mom as a little girl of no more than 4 years, and several other similar jewels. Cleaning out closets: a chore, a treasure hunt.

More political observations...

I was browsing about for political information. real data, not what various pundits are saying (I do not need them to think for me). I wanted to learn something about the voting behavior of the candidates.

Change? Who is the agent for real change in Washington?

Here are facts, interpret them however you like, but keep in mind the President has an approval rating about 3 times higher than the Democratic Congress, and his is bad.

In the 109th Congress (not as disrupted by the primaries as the 110th):
Obama voted more with his party than either Ted Kennedy or Joe Biden, a whopping 94.8% of the time. My editorial comment: real original thinker, huh?

McCain voted party lines 79.4% of the time; he is the seventh least partisan voter in the Senate. My editorial comment: the 'maverick' tag fits better than others might think, that doesn't mean I like him.

Palin as Veep: More executive experience than McCain, Obama, or Biden. Has as many US Senate bills with her name on it as Obama (true, but twisted observation), though a woman who has done everything a woman can do (wife, mother, businessperson, mayor, governor of a state), 'people' wonder if she really represents women. Duh! That is like Jesse Jackson saying Colin Powell wasn't really black...(he really did say that!)

Want change in Washington and your state? Quit looking to the government (which in reality is the the people of the United States) to solve your problems (that's like telling everyone else in the USA they are responsible for helping you), and quit voting for these major parties.

"Always vote for principle, though you may vote alone, and you may cherish the sweetest reflection that your vote is never lost." -- John Quincy Adams